Moscow: Amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, a Russian legislator with close ties to President Vladimir Putin has suggested that Poland might be Moscow’s next target, further complicating the geopolitical landscape. The Russian invasion, initiated by Putin in February 2022, nears its second anniversary without a clear resolution. Despite challenges faced in Ukraine, Russian officials are now hinting at potential invasions of other regions, including former Soviet territories like Moldova and the Balkan States.
While Poland is not a former Soviet territory, it was part of the Eastern Bloc during the Cold War, making it a noteworthy mention in Russia’s expansionist rhetoric. Aleksey Zhuravlyov, a member of the State Duma known for nationalistic views, raised the possibility on a Russian state-run TV show. His remarks questioned the West’s response and alluded to Poland’s vulnerability, suggesting readiness for conflict in regions like Sweden and the Balkans.
Poland’s unique distinction from Ukraine lies in its NATO membership since 1999. An attack on Poland would trigger NATO’s collective response, involving major powers like the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany, under Article 5 of the alliance.
Recent events have heightened tensions, with Poland mobilizing troops last month in response to an unidentified object crossing from Ukraine. Missile and drone strikes by Russia, as described by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, have added to the complex situation. NATO has expressed concerns over stray munitions, exemplified by incidents like the detonation of a Ukrainian air defense missile in Poland in November 2022 and the discovery of a Russian KH-55 missile in Poland in April 2023.
In a parallel development, UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced an increase in military aid to Ukraine during his visit to Kyiv. Signing a new security pact, the UK pledged 2.5 billion pounds ($3.19 billion) for the upcoming financial year, representing a substantial escalation in support. Sunak highlighted the global perception challenges, emphasizing the need to stand firm against adversaries like Putin.
The timing of Sunak’s visit is crucial, coinciding with a pivotal moment in the nearly two-year-old war, where delays in assistance from the US and EU have impacted Ukraine’s situation, making the UK’s increased support crucial.