Moscow: Dmitry Medvedev, Russia’s Deputy Chairman of the Security Council, has hinted at the possibility of escalating Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to include Poland, a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).
Medvedev’s comments suggest that any potential expansion of the conflict could hinge on the type of advanced weaponry Ukraine receives from its Western allies. As reported by the Russian state news agency TASS, Medvedev stated, “Obviously, we need to create a buffer zone for the future to ensure that nothing flies in. Its size is anyone’s guess, but it should be sufficient. If they [Ukrainians] wish to get long-range means of attack, such as cruise and ballistic missiles, then this buffer zone should stretch as far as Poland.”
This statement follows recent reports that the United States is nearing an agreement to supply Ukraine with long-range cruise missiles, specifically the Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missiles (JASSM), which could potentially reach deep into Russian territory. According to anonymous US officials cited by Reuters, the provision of JASSMs could significantly impact the conflict’s dynamics by enabling precise strikes within Russia. However, Kyiv may face delays as Washington addresses technical issues before any shipment.
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Poland’s Military Response
In response to the ongoing conflict and potential threats, Poland has significantly bolstered its defenses. Recently, Warsaw announced new military contracts totaling $520 million. Poland currently dedicates 4% of its gross domestic product (GDP) to defense, the highest percentage among NATO members, with plans to increase this to 4.7% next year, as reported by Al Jazeera.
The recent military agreements include the acquisition of hundreds of AIM-120C AMRAAM air-to-air missiles and a contract for 48 launchers of the US-designed Patriot air defense systems.
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Potential NATO Involvement
Since joining NATO in 1999, Poland has been protected under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, which considers an attack on one member as an attack on all. Should Russia encroach on Polish territory or engage in actions threatening Poland, NATO’s collective defense principle would likely trigger a response, including possible military support to Poland.
