China’s Nuclear Arsenal Rapidly Expanding, Expected to Reach 1,000 Warheads by 2030: Report

New York: A recent report from the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists highlights China’s substantial growth in its nuclear arsenal, estimating around 500 warheads and a projected increase to 1,000 by 2030. The Federation of American Scientists underscores China’s advancements, including the development of new missile silo fields, expansion of silos for liquid-fuel DF-5 ICBMs, and the creation of advanced strategic delivery systems.

Relevant to India’s nuclear weapons program, the report emphasizes the region’s centrality in China’s strategic considerations. The nine nuclear-armed nations include India, Pakistan, US, UK, Russia, China, Israel, North Korea, and France.

The International Panel on Fissile Materials notes China’s stockpile, with approximately 14 tonnes of highly enriched uranium and 2.9 tonnes of separated plutonium available for nuclear weapons. The report suggests that existing inventories support a doubling of the stockpile over the past five years, with the possibility of acquiring additional plutonium through civilian reactors.

Satellite imagery indicates China’s expansion of the Lop Nur test site, featuring new constructions and potential underground facilities. The People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force is actively engaged in exercises related to early warning of a nuclear strike and ‘LOW’ (Launch on Warning) responses, according to the Pentagon.

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