New Delhi: According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), India is poised to experience above-normal monsoon rainfall, with a projected cumulative rainfall of 106 percent of the long-period average of 87 cm. This forecast, released on Monday, heralds promising prospects for agricultural and water resource management across the country.
The IMD’s analysis suggests that most regions of India can expect above-normal rainfall, barring certain areas in the northwest, east, and northeastern states. This optimistic outlook offers hope for alleviating drought concerns and bolstering agricultural productivity.
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Additionally, the IMD forecasts the onset of La Nina conditions by August-September, which typically correlate with favorable monsoon patterns in India. La Nina, characterized by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, often influences weather patterns globally, including the Indian monsoon.
Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director General of the IMD, highlighted the historical correlation between La Nina events and above-normal monsoon rainfall. “Data spanning from 1951 to 2023 reveals that India experienced above-normal monsoon rainfall on nine occasions following an El Nino event,” Mohapatra stated, emphasizing the significance of this climatic phenomenon in shaping India’s monsoon dynamics.
