New Delhi: India is gearing up for General Election 2024. The much-anticipated Lok Sabha vote will commence on April 19, spanning seven phases until June 1. The pivotal question on everyone’s mind is: Who will be the next PM of India? Will Narendra Modi secure his third term, or will Rahul Gandhi taste electoral victory for the first time to become the Prime Minister of India? Shedding light on this debate is a new survey.
In anticipation of the forthcoming Lok Sabha Elections 2024, ABP News, in collaboration with CVoters, has conducted a comprehensive opinion poll to gauge the prevailing sentiment across the nation.
When quizzed about their preference for Prime Ministerial candidates, an overwhelming 58% of respondents favored Prime Minister Narendra Modi as the most fitting choice. Conversely, 16% expressed their support for Rahul Gandhi as their preferred candidate for the esteemed position of Prime Minister of India.
In a direct comparison between Rahul Gandhi and Narendra Modi for the position of Prime Minister of India, 28% of voters lent their support to Rahul Gandhi, while an imposing 62.4% opted for Narendra Modi.
A fraction of participants, 2.4%, endorsed Arvind Kejriwal as their favored candidate, while 1.6% championed Mamata Banerjee as the prospective next PM. Additionally, 1.5% of voters voiced their support for Akhilesh Yadav. The remaining respondents were divided, with 11.1% selecting “others”, and 8.2% asserting “can’t say”.
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Approximately 23.6% of respondents affirmed that they perceived the nation to be progressing forward, while 47.5% paralleled their personal advancement with the country’s trajectory. Conversely, 4.3% acknowledged personal improvement juxtaposed with national stagnation.
For 21.8% of respondents, both personal circumstances and the nation were deemed to be in a “poor state.”
11.1% of voters expressed discontentment with the Prime Minister, while 11.8% advocated for an immediate change in their state’s Chief Minister.
Regarding prevailing issues, 31.9% identified unemployment as the foremost concern plaguing the nation, followed closely by 23.1% who highlighted inflation, family income, and economic distress as pressing issues.
The survey, conducted from April 1 to April 9, garnered insights from 2,600 participants, with a margin of error ranging between ±3 to ±5.
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How it is decided?
The current survey findings and projections are derived from CVoter Opinion Poll CATI interviews (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) conducted among adults aged 18 and above statewide, encompassing confirmed voters. The data is meticulously weighted to reflect the known demographic profile of the states. Minor discrepancies may arise due to rounding effects. The final data file aligns socio-economic profiles within +/- 1% of the demographic profile of the state, ensuring the closest possible trends. The sample distribution spans across all assembly segments in the poll-bound state. The Margin of Error stands at +/- 3% at the macro level and +/- 5% at the micro level for Vote Share projection with a 95% Confidence interval.
